‘Summertime surge’ in US Covid cases

According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)’s wastewater dashboard, the viral activity levels in wastewater reached their highest point since July 2022.

According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)’s wastewater dashboard, the viral activity levels in wastewater reached their highest point since July 2022.

Published Aug 22, 2024

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Recent weeks have witnessed a wave of Covid-19 infections across the US, primarily driven by the emergence of new variants and exacerbated by the summer weather, the media reported.

According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)’s wastewater dashboard, the viral activity levels in wastewater reached their highest point since July 2022.

This tracking method, which provides a more comprehensive picture of viral spread than traditional testing methods, indicated that nationally, the wastewater viral activity level for Covid is currently “very high,” noted the CDC’s latest report last week.

The situation was dire in the Western US, which has been identified as having “the highest wastewater viral activity level” for Covid, according to the CDC. The agency also reported an increase in emergency room visits and hospitalisations.

In May, the hospitalisation rate was about one person per 100 000 people.

However, by August 3, the figure had steadily risen to 4.2 per 100000, according to the CDC’s surveillance system, which comprises over 300 acute-care hospitals in 13 states.

The current surge has surpassed last summer’s heights and continues to increase, as extreme heat forces people to stay indoors, where the virus spreads more easily and as many precautions have largely been abandoned.

California and Arizona emerged as focal points of concern in the summer surge. In California, data from 43 wastewater reporting sites showed that Covid levels were high, comparable to the peak of the winter surge earlier this year, the report said.

The situation in Arizona is equally concerning, with a recent AZ Mirror report indicating that the KP.3 variant had become the dominant strain, accounting for more than 50% of all positive cases in the state.

Public health experts attributed this latest surge to a group of FLiRT sub-variants, which are proving to be the most infectious strains since the pandemic began in 2020.

These FLiRT strains, sub-variants of Omicron, accounted for the majority of Covid-19 cases in the US at the beginning of July, according to a recent Yale Medicine report.

One of the predominant FLiRT sub-variants, KP.3.1.1, has demonstrated increased transmissibility compared to its predecessors. Other factors contributing to the surge included increased human mobility during the summer months and the hot weather.

The Western states, in particular, are grappling with what experts call a “summertime surge” in Covid cases.

The surge was driven by this year’s record high temperatures, and increased use of air conditioning, which can facilitate viral spread by drying out the air. High temperatures drove people indoors, where the virus spread more quickly, contributing to the summer surge in those regions suffering from extreme heat.

A recent report from Johns Hopkins University highlighted that every summer since 2020 there has been a rise in Covid rates during July and August.

The hot weather, combined with human behaviour patterns and an easily mutating virus, creates “the perfect recipe” for Covid’s peak in the summer, it said.

Cape Times